The Jeff Kagan Report & Comment

 

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Google vs. Apple in Wireless

How Android, Nexus One and iPhone are changing the wireless industry

 

This reports discusses Google Android and their first wireless phone Google Nexus One. How it may change the industry. How it compares to and competes with the Apple iPhone. This report also looks at how Google and Apple will impact others like RIM, Palm, Samsung, LG, HTC, Motorola, Palm and others. And networks like AT&T, Verizon, Sprint, T-Mobile and others. Strategies are changing in the wireless industry. In a few short years it will look completely different.

 

By Jeff Kagan ~ Telecom industry analyst

 

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Preview of this Google vs Apple report

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The Jeff Kagan Report & Comment

 

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Google vs. Apple in Wireless

How are Android, Nexus One and iPhone

changing the wireless industry?

 

This reports discusses Google Android and their first wireless phone Google Nexus One. How it may change the industry. How it compares to and competes with the Apple iPhone. This report also looks at how Google and Apple will impact others like RIM, Palm, Samsung, LG, HTC, Motorola, Palm and others. And networks like AT&T, Verizon, Sprint, T-Mobile and others. Strategies are changing in the wireless industry. In a few short years it will look completely different.

 

By Jeff Kagan

Telecom and wireless industry analyst

www.jeffkagan.com

 

January 2010

 

Copyright 2010 Jeff Kagan. All Rights Reserved. Ownership of information remains with Jeff Kagan. Reproduction and distribution or using quotes from this publication or information in any form without prior written permission is forbidden. Information contained here has been obtained from sources believed to be reliable. Jeff Kagan disclaims all warranties as to the accuracy, completeness or adequacy of such information. Although this research may discuss legal or investment issues, Jeff Kagan does not provide legal advice or services, or investment advice or services. Jeff Kagan shall have no liability for errors, omissions or inadequacies in the information contained here or for interpretations thereof. The opinions expressed herein are subject to change without notice. Caution, once this material has been sent, it could be changed, so only trust material e-mailed directly from Jeff Kagan at jeff@jeffkagan.com. If you want to purchase reports to distribute please contact Jeff Kagan.


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Google vs. Apple in Wireless

How are Android, Nexus One and iPhone

changing the wireless industry?

 

This reports discusses Google Android and their first wireless phone Google Nexus One. How it may change the industry. How it compares to and competes with the Apple iPhone. This report also looks at how Google and Apple will impact others like RIM, Palm, Samsung, LG, HTC, Motorola, Palm and others. And networks like AT&T, Verizon, Sprint, T-Mobile and others. Strategies are changing in the wireless industry. In a few short years it will look completely different.

 

Google upset the wireless industry this week. This along with the Apple iPhone is the opening round of the new wireless telecommunications industry going forward. Over the last decade or two the model was focused on networks like AT&T Mobility, Verizon Wireless, Sprint Nextel, T-Mobile and others. It was also focused on various handset makers like Nokia and Rim and others.

 

Now that model is changing.

 

It started three years ago with Apple getting into wireless and asking the network to let them do whatever they wanted to do. That would have never happened before. In fact Verizon Wireless turned Apple down so the iPhone went to AT&T who accepted the new limitations Apple was placing on them. Apple never even let AT&T in on what they were doing until later in the process and then just to make sure it would all work.

 

Changing model

 

That model is changing. Changing from the networks and handset makers designing what is coming, to other companies like Apple and Google and whoever is next. These are not wireless companies. They come to the table with an entirely different mindset.

 

This is a transformation of the wireless industry and we are only in the beginning.

 

Yesterday customers had to buy the packages that wireless companies offered. However in the future customers buy the device, and will be able to put together their own packages. They will buy voice and data service from one or more than one provider.

 

This is a completely different model going forward.

 

The old model will co-exist and still be around for years, but this new model will be growing and ultimately win. And because of the open and free competitive marketplace there is nothing anyone can do to stop it.

 

That is one of the important reasons we don’t want the government controlling the wireless industry. This is innovative and very good news for the customers, even though it has the major players today twitching in their seats.

 

Customers will buy any service from who ever they want. They can do business with one or more than one players.The new Google phones are revolutionary, continuing the revolution started three years ago by Apple.

 

This is the first generation of Google’s effort to transform the wireless space.

 

What is Google?

 

Google is a company with a powerful web site that everyone knows about. Like the creature in a sci fi movie Google starts as a small young fast growing company that continues to double in size every year, engulfing everything in its path.

 

At some point this small company that is changing the world, which everyone backed, transforms itself to a behemoth. That’s when the government and others start to worry about competitive and control issues. That’s when the thinking around the company begins to change. Suddenly it is now a worry. Something that has to be controlled before it takes over.

 

Remember Microsoft?

 

Google has grown to a lot of different businesses in the online world. Now it wants to bring that to the wireless world.

 

Google is all about the online advertising opportunity. That’s their profit center. Soon I see Google wireless phones growing and doing more and expanding that space.

 

This wireless expansion is a way for Google to expand their current business model and allow them to bring their ads to the mobile world.

 

They will know where you came from, where you are going to, where you are on an ongoing basis, and they will be able to sell ads to businesses using that knowledge.

 

Not just where you are online, but where you are physically in the world.

 

This is such an innovative way of thinking about the wireless opportunity.

 

This will allow Google to bring a whole new experience to the wireless world, and a whole new wave of opportunities to businesses wanting to reach customers in new ways.

 

Price

 

The initial device is expensive. However the initial Apple iPhone was expensive too yet prices came down quickly. I think the price of this new Google phone will come down dramatically, although customers can buy it today for under $200 directly from a network.

 

It may eventually be free if customers agree to let them earn money through advertising.

 

Free telephone or long distance paid for by ads is an idea that has been around for years. It never worked, but it keeps getting tried.

 

This is an area I am sure Google will experiment with and with their record of success it may succeed this time. The difference is Google already has a successful advertising model, and they are just moving it to the mobile world.

 

Google operates all these different Internet services. They are trying to expand the various places their profits come from. They will try to expand with wireless. Expect however they will tie ads with mobile to bring a whole new world of opportunity to advertisers.

 

Google and Apple are changing the industry

 

The wireless world was always around the wireless networks and handset makers. However 3 years ago Apple jumped in and changed the space. Google is coming into the same space and will transform it the way they want.

 

That means both Google and Apple will be leaders in this new world. Other companies will follow and they may not be from wireless either. However they may have their own customer base and looking for new ways to reach and interact with them.

 

Some will be successful while others will fail.

This is a giant transformation of the wireless industry that we have just begun.


This is the birth of a brand new segment in the wireless industry. It will grow and eventually may be the way the entire industry operates. However that will take years.

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Google hit the jackpot

 

Google hit the jackpot with public relations and media attention in recent months. The question is will this live up to the massive hype? How will it change the wireless world. Will it be like Apple with the iPhone? Should competitors be nervous?

 

Why is Google doing this? What are the challenges and opportunities? How will this impact customers, competitors and investors? How successfully will Google compete and how will it change customer usage of wireless? Will this be a long-term story or will it fade away after a few months?

 

These are some of the questions surrounding the industry reshaping changes that are occurring. Companies like Google and Apple are capturing all the wireless media attention, and they are not even wireless companies.

 

Google is a web site and Apple is a laptop and music device maker. Dell looks to be next and they are a windows based computer company.

 

What is happening to the wireless industry?

 

Google Nexus One and Android

 

This may have been one of the longest awaited surprises in the history of the wireless industry. Very similar to the iPhone phenomenon of a few short years ago.

 

Everyone had talked about and speculated on Googles next step into wireless. I say next step because even though it sounds brand new, Google is already in wireless.

 

They entered the space a year or so ago with the first version of their Android phone. It was made by HTC and sold on T-Mobile network. It was a decent first entry, but wasn’t that successful. It did not shake the industry the way we thought. Not yet anyway.

 

The first Google Android on T-Mobile was not really different than competitive products. It did not really capture the imagination of the marketplace. It turned out to be Google just getting their feet wet. This was their first step into wireless and it went well.

 

It was expected that Google would move rapidly. During the last several months they have begun to do so. Google Android is now on a number of handsets from a number of handset makers, and is available on a number of carriers.

 

Brand names are many. Android. Droid on Verizon. Now the first Nexus One phone.

 

The names Google has chosen are also a little strange. Android. Nexus one. These are not typical cell phone names. These are more consumer electronics names, and perhaps for a youth audience.

 

Also, the name Nexus One sounds like a hair conditioner. Sorry. Either we’ll get used to it or Google will change it over time.

 

It reminds me of the old Saturday Night Live routine from the past; it’s a hair conditioner, no it’s a cell phone, no it’s a hair conditioner, no it’s a cell phone… no wait… it’s a hair conditioner AND a cell phone!

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OTHER SECTIONS:

What’s next?

Duplicating the iPhone success, but . . . 

Apps

Google is similar, but different than Apple. We will still see bitter competition.

What impact will Google make?

Google will be different from Apple

This is bigger then Google just getting into wireless.

SUPERPHONE, this industry is changing

One thing is for sure; the marketplace is maturing and changing.

Will Apple and Google impact Nokia, the same way Nokia impacted Motorola?

Google App store

Smart phone growth accelerating

How radically different is Google in cellular?

Ad supported free phone

Locked or Unlocked?

Buy in store or online?

Is Steve Jobs worried about Google

Shaken not stirred

 

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